Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.052500 0.056989 0.061532 0.066467 0.071670 0.076985 0.082817
2025-03-30 0.045767 0.052372 0.059293 0.067059 0.075501 0.084374 0.094380
2025-04-06 0.039992 0.048031 0.056720 0.066750 0.077944 0.089995 0.103889
2025-04-13 0.036565 0.045829 0.056119 0.068284 0.082163 0.097396 0.115272
2025-04-20 0.032450 0.042430 0.053814 0.067586 0.083623 0.101543 0.122914
2025-04-27 0.029561 0.040179 0.052586 0.067905 0.086064 0.106669 0.131577
2025-05-04 0.027584 0.038830 0.052256 0.069132 0.089450 0.112807 0.141367
2025-05-11 0.026312 0.038223 0.052715 0.071220 0.093795 0.120037 0.152436
2025-05-18 0.023081 0.034899 0.049630 0.068807 0.092584 0.120597 0.155583
2025-05-25 0.021087 0.033031 0.048235 0.068360 0.093657 0.123796 0.161797
2025-06-01 0.019315 0.031332 0.046944 0.067943 0.094684 0.126881 0.167837
2025-06-08 0.018716 0.031182 0.047633 0.070024 0.098815 0.133746 0.178469
2025-06-15 0.017750 0.030492 0.047607 0.071215 0.101896 0.139438 0.187842
2025-06-22 0.016735 0.029667 0.047352 0.072077 0.104550 0.144619 0.196639
2025-06-29 0.015432 0.028337 0.046337 0.071873 0.105799 0.148033 0.203267
2025-07-06 0.014859 0.028050 0.046737 0.073550 0.109482 0.154517 0.213738
2025-07-13 0.013579 0.026600 0.045429 0.072845 0.110002 0.156977 0.219183
2025-07-20 0.012721 0.025746 0.044921 0.073197 0.111887 0.161160 0.226792
2025-07-27 0.012202 0.025395 0.045113 0.074498 0.115027 0.166951 0.236449
2025-08-03 0.011967 0.025487 0.045946 0.076700 0.119388 0.174342 0.248179
2025-08-10 0.010499 0.023430 0.043490 0.074161 0.117270 0.173289 0.249116
2025-08-17 0.009667 0.022389 0.042515 0.073692 0.117932 0.175829 0.254637
2025-08-24 0.008905 0.021413 0.041590 0.073253 0.118603 0.178363 0.260144